About
Hi, welcome!
I'm an ecologist and PhD student working out of the Germain lab at UBC.
Although trained as a biologist, my interests are extremely broad. This is because, at the root of it all, I'm deeply fascinated
in the nature of complexity. Put simply, complexity can be anecdotally captured by the phrase: the whole is greater than the sum of its parts.
In more jargony terms, it's the apparent separation between the microstates and macrostates of a system. This suggests that conventional
reductionist approaches, of which we are so used to in science, may offer little to our investigations. It's not unlike trying to clap your hands underwater!
As you may have noticed, complexity is everywhere, but it is particularly abundant in living sytems - systems that despite the inevitability of entropy
increase, manages to maintain itself out-of-equilibrium. We see it in our economy, our society, the internet, the climate, and even in our
bodies (the collection of cells and microorganisms that make up us!). My premise is that all these things are the result of biological processes governed
by the ecologies of organisms and their environment, which have been and continue to be sculpted by Darwinian evolution. If this premise holds,
I believe ecology and evolution offers endless opportunities for scientific discovery and allows us to get a glimpse of the inner workings of nature herself.
For my PhD research, I'm trying to understand how ecologically-similar species coexist. Coexistence of similiar species is a paradox because one of the
central tenet of competition theory is that stable coexistence is permitted only when competiting species occupy different niches. The standard response to
this paradox is that there are unobserved/cryptic envrionmental variability that promotes coexistence, emphasizing the role of exogenous envrionmental factors
in determining species persistence. I would like to explore an alternative (but compatible!) explanation: that the environment that promotes persistence are, in part,
shaped by activities of the organisms that inhabit it. How? My hypothesis is that the answer lies in information. Unlike inanimate objects, organisms have the
capacity to sense their envrionment, find regularities in it, and act upon it to guide adaptive behaviour. In this way, organisms are not
fully constrained by their environment, they have the capacity to modify it and alter how they experience it. As the late evolutionary biologist Richard Lewontin puts it:
"Natural selection is not a consequence of how well the organism solves a set of fixed problems posed by the envrionment; on the contrary, the environment and the organism actively
codetermine each other"
I'm currently trying to incorporate aspects of information use into niche theory by building mathematical models, running computer simulations, and experimenting with microbes 🧑🏻‍💻🦠. If any of these things sound
interesting to you, feel free to contact me or check back here for updates!
I occasionally write/blog about things: 1) Simulating ecology
2) Predator-Prey, 3) Biology computing, 4) Ideas that need retiring
Research
* - Equal contribution
† - Shared senior authorship
🌱︎ - Undergraduate mentee
Ecological memory induces transient cycles
A characteristic feature of living systems is that they leave traces of their existence in the environment. To investigate the consequences of these persistent environmental
modifications on population dynamics, we modified an existing population model, derived some analytical properties, and evaluated it by fitting it to experimental data.
We found that ecological memory induces novel transient behaviour and stabilises populations by reducing the parameter space in which chaotic dynamics occur. Fitted to
time-series data of competing Tribolium beetles, the memory model clearly outperformed its memoryless counterpart — suggesting that these environmental legacies are not
only dynamically consequential, but that ignoring them can bias our inference about population dynamics.
Ou, WJ-A, 🌱︎Catherine Laver, 🌱︎Seth Perez, Germain, RM, T. 2026. Ecological memory generates transient dynamics that bias
empirical estimates of demographic parameters. The American Naturalist (Submitted)
Transient invaders modify resident metapopulation size
Species interact not only within local communities but also through regional-scale processes, yet such local–regional feedback in shaping metapopulation dynamics has rarely been tested experimentally.
Using nectar microbes as a model system, we examined how a bacterial species dispersing into a sink habitat, sustained by external supply, interacts with a resident yeast both directly,
by modifying local nectar chemistry, and indirectly, by altering metapopulation connectivity. We found that external bacterial supply enhanced local yeast productivity, and that this benefit was
amplified when yeast dispersal was reduced in supplied patches. Analysis of a metapopulation model shows that bacteria-induced dispersal bias increases yeast metapopulation size by bringing the yeast
metapopulation closer to its ideal free distribution. Together, our results underscore the role of dispersal in shaping how metapopulations experience density dependence across
heterogeneous landscapes and highlight the relevance of material flows across ecosystem boundaries.
Ou, WJ-A, †Germain, RM, †Fukami, T. 2026. Transient invaders can increase resident metapopulation size by modifying
local conditions and regional connectivity. The American Naturalist (Revisions submitted)
Spatial metastability of alternative stable states
Ecological communities often exhibit alternative stable states, where the outcome of community assembly is historically contingent. In a spatially extended system,
multiple distinct alternative states can fix in different locations and therefore maintain regional diversity. Theory predicts, however, that dispersal between
communities will homogenize the landscape, causing the metacommunity as a whole to drift toward one of the alternative states.
Inspired by earlier works on sympatric speciation (e.g., Maynard Smith 1966),
we conducted in silico experiments to examine how assortative dispersal — the tendency of individuals to disperse toward locations where conspecifics are more
common — alters the persistence of alternative stable states at the metacommunity level. Just as assortative mating maintains sufficient segregation between
incipient species for speciation to proceed, spatial extent and assortative dispersal can together create a metastable state in which alternative states coexist
regionally over ecologically relevant timescales.
Ou, WJ-A, Germain, RM. 2026. Assorative dispersal faciliates the regional maintenance of alternative stable states. Ecological Monographs (In revision)
Writing accessible theory in Ecology and Evolution
Science operates on a heatlhy feedback between theory and experimentation. However, theories are often formalized in the form of mathematics,
which render them inaccessible to those lacking formal training. In this paper, we outline a list of recommendations, based on
Cognitive Load theory, that provides theoreticians concrete ways in which they can make their work more acceesible, thereby strengthening the link
between theory and experimentation.
*Ou, WJ-A, *Henriques, GJB, Senthilnathan, A, Ke, P-J, †Grainger, TN, †Germain, RM. 2022.
Writing Accessible Theory in Ecology and Evolution: Insights from Cognitive Load Theory. BioScience. [paper]
Paddy field agroecology
1. Trophic interactions with stable isotopes
Due to their low prey specificity, generalist arthropod predators are often neglected as potential biocontrol agents in agro-ecosystems.
Furthermore, their inconspicuous feeding habits can be hard to quantify under field conditions. To overcome this limitation, we use
stable isotope analysis, which provides time-integrated dietery information, to shed light on the inconspicuous trophic interactions
betweeen generalist predators and their prey. As expected, generalist predators shift their diets over the course of the cropping season
and these trends were consistent across different farming systems.
Hsu, G-C, Ou, J-A, Ho, C-K. 2021. Pest consumption by generalist arthropod predators increases with
crop stage in both organic and conventional farms. Ecosphere. [DOI]
2. Arthropod biodiversity across scales
Agro-ecosystems are complex dynamic mosaics where environmental heterogeneity vary across spatial scales. Moreover,
species can differ in their responses to environmental conditions of varying spatial scales, which ultimately affects
the diversity and composition of ecological communities. In this study, we show that paddy field inhabiting
arthropods show only weak responses to local factors such as organic farming and crop height. In contrast, most species
show strong positive responses to forest cover in the surrounding matrix. These general responses were true even
for species of different trophic groups.
Ou, J-A, Huang, C-L, Chen, H-J, Tsai, C-W, Ho, C-K. 2021 Effects of local and landscape factors on arthrpod diversity: from species to communities. In prep
Plant-animal interactions
1. Effects of plant water stress on multitrophic arthroprod communities
The association between drought and insect outbreaks is a well-documented phenomenon but its generality across other
plant-insect herbivore systems remains unknown. In this study, we conducted a field experiment showing that the
impact of water stress on herbivore performance is highly dependent on animal community and species interactions.
Specifically, the negative effects of plant water stress on Pierid larvae performance was the result of species
interaction (competition and predation) and not changes in plant quality. Read more here:
*Lin, P-A, *Liu, C-M, *Ou, J-A, Sun, C.-H., Chuang, W.-P., Ho, C.-K., Kinoshita, N., & Felton, G. W.
(2021). Changes in arthropod community but not plant quality benefit a specialist herbivore on plants
under reduced water availability. Oecologia. [DOI]
2. Direct and indirect effects of warming and predation on aphid population dynamics
Natural ecological communities contain multiple interacting species. As such, impacts of environmental change
can be hard to predict because environmental change can affect species both directly and/or indirectly through species
interactions. In this study, we applied structural equation modeling to decompose the direct and indirect effects of
experimental warming on aphid population dynamics in a lady beetle-aphid-soy bean tri-trophic system. Our preliminary
results show that plant-mediated indirect effects were negligible and that warming affected aphid population dynamics
mainly through direct effects on intrinsic growth rate and alate/apterous ratio